Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports


	Sportivo Dock Sud		Cañuelas

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.25	3	3.3
	2.25	2.88	3.27
	2.24	2.93	3.33	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.26	2.99	3.31
	2.25	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.74)	2.95 ↓ (3.6)	3.26 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Dock Sud
41%

Draw
31%

Cañuelas
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.8%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

25.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Dock Sud's form might have worsened.

Cañuelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cañuelas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Dock Sud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañuelas than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cañuelas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Sportivo Dock Sud - Cañuelas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dock Sud will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cañuelas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Zabala G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, Modon S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dock Sud won 1.

Dock Sud is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cañuelas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dock Sud is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dock Sud won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Dock Sud won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
17.08.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
06.08.24	Sacachispas - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:3 ✺
27.07.24	Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	Acassuso - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWTW
- Cañuelas FC
Argentinian Primera B
17.08.24	Cañuelas - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
10.08.24	Villa San Carlos - Cañuelas	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Italiano	0:3 ✺
29.07.24	Argentino de Merlo - Cañuelas	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Cañuelas - Liniers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
08.04.24	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:1
16.09.23	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:2
14.05.23	Sportivo Dock Sud - Cañuelas	1:0
24.09.22	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	2:0
28.05.22	Sportivo Dock Sud - Cañuelas	2:2
Argentinian Primera C
04.01.21	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1
18.11.19	Cañuelas - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:2

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