Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Sportivo Italiano		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.6	2.75
	2.8	2.65	2.9	Watch
	2.79	2.57	2.94	Watch
	2.7	2.62	2.8
	2.77	2.77	2.88
	2.8	2.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.82)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
33.3%

Draw
34.7%

Ferrocarril Midland
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

35.6%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

34.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 2. Diaz E. 6. Mayola E. (C) 3. Kreiman B. 8. Porro E. 5. Rojas J. 7. Gomez F. 10. Laborda L. 9. Aguirre F. 11. Mozzone E.	1. Maldonado L. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Castorani P. 6. Cataldi F. 3. Kruger J. 10. Campana A. I. 5. Violini N. 7. Rogoski M. (C) 8. Frattini M. 9. Molina F. 11. Calabria G.
Substitutes
15. Desposito P. 19. Diaz S. 16. Palacio S. 17. Rivero J. 14. Rodriguez M. 18. Torres A. 12. Yordan G. (G)	19. Arias A. 12. Avendano N. (G) 15. Cucinotta M. 14. Figueroa R. 17. Goyeneche J. 13. Meza F. 16. Nunez D. 20. Olivera E. 18. Vico L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
19', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
31', Diaz Laharque L. 🟨,
33', Diaz E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Rogoski M. ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 0.

Sportivo Italiano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferrocarril is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Italiano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15:19 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
15.03.25	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sportivo Italiano - Acassuso	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTTT
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
09.03.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.02.25	Vélez Sársfield - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
22.02.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
18.02.25	Argentino de Merlo - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.08.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	3:0
30.03.24	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2
Argentinian Primera C
12.11.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	1:0
05.11.23	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1
23.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2
14.05.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Sportivo Italiano	1:0
09.10.22	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	3:0

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