Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Excursionistas		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	1.86	3	4.8	Watch
	1.76	3.05	5.18	Watch
	1.8	2.9	5
	1.74	3.33	5.12
	1.86	3	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.97)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	4.73 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
50.3%

Draw
30.3%

Sportivo Italiano
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Italiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cajal N. (G) 4. Arciero R. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Cahais M. 3. Schiavulli T. 8. Zarco H. 5. Peralta C. 10. Vera I. 11. Zoratti G. 7. Ferraro F. 9. Zarate J.	1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 2. Diaz E. 6. Mayola E. 3. Kreiman B. 8. Torres A. 5. Rojas J. 10. Laborda L. 11. Palacio S. 7. Mozzone E. 9. Davila M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Bifiguer C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Zarate J. ⚽,
25', Torres A. 🟨,
32', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Pata L. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
62', Igarzabal H. 🟨,
63', Cahais M. 🟨,
65', Peralta C. ↓, Zoratti G. ↑,
66', Vera I. ↓, Mateo F. ↑,
68', Ferraro F. 🟨,
69', Torres A. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
69', Aguirre F. ↓, Davila M. ↑,
69', Cabrera A. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
70', Kreiman B. 🟨,
78', Schiavulli T. 🟨,
86', Zarate J. ↓, David M. ↑,
86', Ferraro F. ↓, Abre F. ↑,
88', Cajal N. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, David M. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Excursionistas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
09.03.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.02.25	Godoy Cruz - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
21.02.25	Excursionistas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
18.02.25	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWTLT
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
08.03.25	Sportivo Italiano - Acassuso	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
18.02.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Deportivo Flandria - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
10.07.24	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
20.02.24	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:3
Argentinian Primera C
04.07.23	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
26.02.23	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:0
20.06.22	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	2:0
12.02.22	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
29.08.21	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	3:0

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