Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday


	Sportivo Las Parejas		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.8
	2.5	2.85	2.85
	2.56	2.61	2.88
	2.5	2.96	2.86
	2.51	2.79	2.86
	2.5	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.78)	2.82 ↓ (2.91)	2.85 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Las Parejas
36.2%

Draw
32.1%

Central Norte
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Las Parejas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Las Parejas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Blanco E. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
60', 1 - 1, Caballo M. ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, Lesman G. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Bonet J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Las Parejas won 1.

Recent matches Sportivo Las Parejas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Central Norte is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Central Norte could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sportivo Las Parejas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Las Parejas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.08.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Las Parejas	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.08.24	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
11.08.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.11.23	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:1
14.08.22	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	0:1
06.05.22	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	3:1
31.10.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
01.08.21	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	2:1
10.01.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0
15.02.20	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	3:0

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