Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 33

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Juventud Unida Universitario

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.1	1.73
				Watch
	4.1	3.13	1.86
	4.5	3.2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (4.24)	3.14 ↓ (3.14)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
20.8%

Draw
28.7%

Juventud Unida Universitario
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

28.7%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

28.2%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Juventud Unida Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1.

Sportivo Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventud Unida Universitario is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juventud Unida Universitario is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.09.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
13.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:0 ✺
08.09.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1 ✺
03.09.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.09.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1 ✺
13.09.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Atenas Río Cuarto	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1
10.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0
16.04.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
03.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1
29.05.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0
19.09.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2
19.06.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0

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