Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday


	Sportivo Trinidense		Deportivo Santaní

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.5	4.1	4.9
	1.42	4	6.2
	1.42	4.25	5.72
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.38	4.33	6.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.8)	4.08 ↑ (3.22)	6.05 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
63%

Draw
22.1%

Deportivo Santaní
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

27%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Trinidense's performance.

Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Santaní might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Trinidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Santaní could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.7%	13%

Sportivo Trinidense - Deportivo Santaní Predictions

Users Predictions: Sportivo Trinidense will win (36 of 46 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.34% – 90.18%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura) and 15).

Sportivo Trinidense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Santaní is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sportivo Trinidense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.08.22	Sportivo Iteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
12.08.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Independiente Asuncion	2:1 ✺
07.08.22	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo Trinidense	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
02.08.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaireña	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
29.07.22	Sportivo Trinidense - 3 de Febrero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLT
- Deportivo Santaní
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.08.22	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
12.08.22	Martín Ledesma - Deportivo Santaní	0:2 ✺
06.08.22	Deportivo Santaní - Atyrá	2:3 ✺
31.07.22	Pastoreo - Deportivo Santaní	4:0 ✺
23.07.22	Sportivo Iteño - Deportivo Santaní	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
17.05.22	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Trinidense	2:2
17.07.21	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Trinidense	3:1

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