The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Albans City 37.7%
Draw 25.8%
Aveley 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
25%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
23.8%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Albans City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St Albans City - Aveley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Nwabueze J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Albans won 2.
St Albans is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aveley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St Albans won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, St Albans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now
St. Albans: 4.83% Aveley: 2.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
St. Albans
8
4
2
2
17:13
4
14
16
Aveley
10
3
1
6
17:18
-1
10
Last Results with these Odds
St Albans City - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Aveley - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.