Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	St George Saints		Western Sydney Wanderers U23

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.2	3.8
	1.62	4.4	3.9
	1.67	5.09	3.9
	1.66	4.91	3.88	Watch
	1.73	4	3.7
	1.72	4.43	3.83	Watch
	1.62	4.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.36)	4.49 ↓ (5.03)	3.84 ↓ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St George Saints
55.4%

Draw
20.6%

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

17%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St George Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St George Saints's form might have worsened.

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St George Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St George Saints will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Western Sydney U23 will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Abdul-Rahman A. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Haddad E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 3, Nkomo M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One).

Recent performances by St George Saints have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Western Sydney U23 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St George Saints may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St George Saints is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St George Saints won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Including home match between the teams, St George Saints won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
26.04.25	North West Sydney Spirit - St George Saints	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	St George Saints - Sydney United	2:4 ✺
13.04.25	Blacktown City - St George Saints	3:2 ✺
04.04.25	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	St. George City - St George Saints	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLLWW
- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
04.05.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Blacktown City	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	8:1 ✺
12.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Manly United	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Sydney FC U23	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
06.07.24	St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	2:2

St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide