Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 11

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Rockdale Ilinden		Western Sydney Wanderers U23

	1	X	2
	1.24	6.25	8.5
	1.38	5	5.6
	1.39	5.71	5.86
	1.41	5.4	5.84	Watch
	1.37	5.2	5.66	Watch
	1.38	5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	5.43 ↓ (5.8)	6.18 ↑ (6.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rockdale Ilinden
68%

Draw
17.1%

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

15.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

14.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rockdale Ilinden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rockdale Ilinden than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rockdale Ilinden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Auglah A. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Auglah A. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Urosevski A. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Auglah A. ⚽,
44', 4 - 1, Simmons A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', Barrie N. 🟥,
48', 5 - 1, Urosevski A. (Pen),
54', 6 - 1, Cholakian B. ⚽,
74', 7 - 1, Ovens B. ⚽,
88', 8 - 1, Ovens B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Rockdale Ilinden is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Western Sydney U23 is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rockdale Ilinden is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rockdale Ilinden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Including matches at home between the teams Rockdale Ilinden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rockdale Ilinden
Australian NPL NSW
13.04.25	Sydney United - Rockdale Ilinden	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Rockdale Ilinden - North West Sydney Spirit	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Rockdale Ilinden	4:3 ✺
22.03.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Blacktown City	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Sutherland Sharks - Rockdale Ilinden	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLWW
- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
12.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Manly United	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Sydney FC U23	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Marconi Stallions - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	6:1 ✺
16.03.25	Wollongong Wolves - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
09.06.24	Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	3:2

Rockdale Ilinden - Western Sydney Wanderers U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide