Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Needham Market		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.92
	2.25	3.32	2.94
	2.21	3.62	2.94	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.14	3.66	3.03
	2.25	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	3.41 ↓ (3.72)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
41.8%

Draw
26.8%

Kettering Town
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Needham Market - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, York W. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Ingram L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Panter E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 1 - 3, Jeche N. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kettering may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Needham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Needham won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Needham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Needham Market	13	7	2	4	28:19	9	23
7	Kettering	12	6	4	2	22:9	13	22

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Kettering: 1.76% Needham Market: 0.9%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Stamford - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Needham Market - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Leiston - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Needham Market - Harborough Town	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Banbury United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLT
- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.01.26	Bishops Stortford - Kettering Town	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Leiston - Kettering Town	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Harborough Town - Kettering Town	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	Kettering Town - Royston Town	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Kettering Town - Bury Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.10.25	Kettering Town - Needham Market	0:1
06.01.24	Needham Market - Kettering Town	4:0
12.09.23	Kettering Town - Needham Market	1:1
02.02.19	Kettering Town - Needham Market	3:2
03.11.18	Needham Market - Kettering Town	0:3

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