Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 22

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Willawong (Willawong)


	St. George Willawong		Peninsula Power

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.6	1.43
	4.95	4.45	1.46	Watch
	5.41	4.76	1.49
	4.00	3.76	1.79	Watch
	5	4.2	1.5
	5	4.5	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (5.04)	4.38 ↓ (4.85)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George Willawong
18.4%

Draw
21.1%

Peninsula Power
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

18.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

18%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George Willawong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peninsula Power could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. George Willawong - Peninsula Power Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peninsula Power will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Gjorgiev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Weldemariam S. 🟥,
64', 1 - 1, Joseph N. ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, St. George Willawong has had a series of away games.

Recently, Peninsula Power has had a series of home games.

In this match, Peninsula Power is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. George Willawong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George Willawong
Australian NPL Queensland
15.08.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - St. George Willawong	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	St. George Willawong - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Moreton City Excelsior - St. George Willawong	2:5 ✺
26.07.25	Peninsula Power - St. George Willawong	5:0 ✺
20.07.25	Olympic FC - St. George Willawong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TWWLL
- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
15.08.25	Peninsula Power - Brisbane City	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Olympic FC - Peninsula Power	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Peninsula Power - Queensland Lions	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Peninsula Power - St. George Willawong	5:0 ✺
Australian Cup
22.07.25	Peninsula Power - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
26.07.25	Peninsula Power - St. George Willawong	5:0

St. George Willawong - Peninsula Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide