Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 19

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Wolter Park (Brisbane)


	Moreton City Excelsior		St. George Willawong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.12	9.5	13.5
	1.1	7.4	12.5	Watch
	1.1	11.57	14.5
	1.37	4.96	6.91	Watch
	1.14	8	13
	1.14	7.88	15.1	Watch
	1.11	8.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.17)	8.22 ↑ (7.2)	12.5 ↑ (9.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreton City Excelsior
81.1%

Draw
11.4%

St. George Willawong
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.9%

12.7%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreton City Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

St. George Willawong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Moreton City Excelsior - St. George Willawong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', 0 - 2, Gjorgiev S. ⚽,
47', 0 - 3, Gjorgiev S. ⚽,
56', 0 - 4, Jankovic L. ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, Vega K. A. ⚽,
81', 2 - 4, Satharasinghe D. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: ) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).

Moreton City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

St. George Willawong has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Moreton City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moreton City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreton City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreton City Excelsior
Australian NPL Queensland
30.07.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Eastern Suburbs	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Moreton City Excelsior	0:5 ✺
21.06.25	Moreton City Excelsior - Brisbane Roar U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT
- St. George Willawong
Australian NPL Queensland
26.07.25	Peninsula Power - St. George Willawong	5:0 ✺
20.07.25	Olympic FC - St. George Willawong	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	St. George Willawong - Brisbane City	1:4 ✺
06.07.25	Queensland Lions - St. George Willawong	3:0 ✺
22.06.25	St. George Willawong - Wynnum Wolves	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
25.05.25	St. George Willawong - Moreton City Excelsior	3:1

Moreton City Excelsior - St. George Willawong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide