Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)


	Peninsula Power		Western Sydney Wanderers

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.3	Watch
	7	5.25	1.3
	6.9	5.5	1.31	Watch
	6.3	5.09	1.3
	11.62	7.35	1.18	Watch
	7.5	5	1.3
	7.85	5.55	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.67 ↑ (5.72)	5.5 ↑ (4.86)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peninsula Power
11.9%

Draw
16.7%

Western Sydney Wanderers
71.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

18.8%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Peninsula Power - Western Sydney Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Peninsula will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Peninsula (votes: 2 - 50%). Western Sydney (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.75 - Peninsula (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Peninsula (votes: 3 - 60%). Western Sydney (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thurtell J. (G) 2. Gray R. 5. Phelps J. 6. McGowan M. 21. Kovach E. 7. Gibbs K. 8. Woolley J. 14. Velardo R. 23. McKenzie C. 17. Macuace J. 10. Joseph N.	20. Thomas L. (C) 2. Cleur G. 4. Bonetig A. 22. Pantazopoulos A. 3. Gersbach A. 23. Kraev B. 18. Priestman O. 25. Brillante J. 21. Hammond A. 7. Barbarouses K. 9. Kuol A.
Substitutes
15. Anshu A. 13. Damsma C. (G) 9. Flemington K. 12. Mundy M. 3. Stokes S. 22. Weldemariam S.	6. Al Taay M. 14. Cancar P. 17. Carluccio J. 30. Holmes J. (G) 31. Simmons A. 8. Ugarkovic S. 11. Younis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Kraev B. ⚽, Pantazopoulos A. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Kraev B. ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Barbarouses K. ⚽, Priestman O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Woolley J. ↓, Weldemariam S. ↑,
46', Kuol A. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
46', Cleur G. ↓, Simmons A. ↑,
59', Kraev B. (Pen),
63', Macuace J. ↓, Flemington K. ↑,
63', Kovach E. ↓, Messina R. ↑,
63', Brillante J. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
63', Barbarouses K. ↓, Younis M. ↑,
74', McKenzie C. ↓, Stokes S. ↑,
74', Velardo R. ↓, Anshu A. ↑,
80', Carluccio J. 🟨,
82', Kraev B. ↓, Al Taay M. ↑,
88', Pantazopoulos A. 🟨,
90+4', Gersbach A. 🟨,

Preview

Peninsula Power is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Western Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Western Sydney is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
19.07.25	Wynnum Wolves - Peninsula Power	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Peninsula Power	0:0 ✺
09.07.25	Peninsula Power - Olympic FC	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Peninsula Power - Gold Coast United	7:0 ✺
28.06.25	Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWWW
- Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League
10.05.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWTW

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