Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)


	Brisbane Roar U23		St. George Willawong

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.2	4
	1.58	4.25	4.15
	1.64	4.71	4.07
	1.59	4.47	4.46	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.2
	1.6	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.47)	4.29 ↓ (4.43)	4.19 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar U23
56.7%

Draw
21.4%

St. George Willawong
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.5%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

19.7%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

St. George Willawong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Roar U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George Willawong than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Brisbane Roar U23 - St. George Willawong Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

St. George Willawong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brisbane Roar U23 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brisbane Roar U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar U23
Australian NPL Queensland
03.08.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Olympic FC	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Gold Coast Knights	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Gold Coast United - Brisbane Roar U23	0:3 ✺
09.07.25	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane Roar U23	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Brisbane Roar U23 - Eastern Suburbs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 LTWWL
- St. George Willawong
Australian NPL Queensland
10.08.25	St. George Willawong - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Moreton City Excelsior - St. George Willawong	2:5 ✺
26.07.25	Peninsula Power - St. George Willawong	5:0 ✺
20.07.25	Olympic FC - St. George Willawong	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	St. George Willawong - Brisbane City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
04.05.25	St. George Willawong - Brisbane Roar U23	0:3

Brisbane Roar U23 - St. George Willawong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide