The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Johnstone 33.2%
Draw 26.6%
Dundee United 40.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
26.3%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
26.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Johnstone's form might have worsened.
Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Johnstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
St. Johnstone - Dundee United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 19. Finlayson D. 3. Diabate C. 2. Alic E. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 30. Cotterill J. 7. Steven T. 9. Fowler J.
1. Walton J. (G) 23. Rawlins J. 3. Esselink B. 18. Forbes M. 19. Ciubotaru K. 10. Tait D. (C) 16. Cameron L. 14. Iqbal Z. 21. Randall J. 93. Metsoko I. 77. Bennie D.
Substitutes
32. Campbell J. 23. Chalmers L. 18. Fotheringham K. 14. Foulds M. 10. Gullan J. 6. Mikulic B. 99. Paton R. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 26. Todd M.
30. Amissah J. (G) 8. Camara P. 20. Farrugia N. 6. Graham R. 4. Iovu I. 22. Naamo D. 15. Rose L. 9. Sapsford Z. 26. Yoro A.
Coaches
Valakari S.
Goodwin J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Fowler J. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
42', Tait D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fowler J. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
46', Bennie D. ↓, Yoro A. ↑,
63', Metsoko I. ↓, Sapsford Z. ↑,
63', Tait D. ↓, Rose L. ↑,
66', Cameron L. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Cameron L. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
82', Steven T. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
82', Stanton S. ↓, Gullan J. ↑,
84', McAlear R. 🟨,
88', Randall J. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
90', Iqbal Z. 🟨,
90+1', Farrugia N. 🟨,
90+2', Holt J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 1.
In recent outings, St. Johnstone has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Dundee Utd is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Dundee Utd: Agyei E.
(Knee Injury)
Merghem M.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, St. Johnstone has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Johnstone against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 0.5:0.8 per game).