Match Info

Premiership - Relegation Group - Round 38

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: McLean S. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Saints TV


	St. Johnstone		Dundee

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.2
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.47	3.78	2.09
	3.6	3.81	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.2
	3.65	3.72	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.2)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
27.9%

Draw
25.7%

Dundee
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Johnstone's form might have worsened.

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Johnstone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

St. Johnstone - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dundee will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Sinclair R. (G) 46. Franczak F. 23. Sprangler S. (C) 4. Balodis D. 19. Steven T. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 7. Holt J. 6. Griffith V. 27. Kirk M. 24. McPake J. 16. Sidibeh A.	31. Carson T. (G) 4. Astley R. 5. Shaughnessy J. (C) 3. Robertson C. 21. Larkeche Z. 8. Mulligan J. 29. Portales J. 10. Cameron L. 23. Palmer-Houlden S. 7. Tiffoney S. 15. Murray S.
Substitutes
11. Carey G. 37. Curtis S. 55. Hamill C. 31. Hepburn C. (G) 9. Ikpeazu U. 17. Kucheriavyi M. 45. Mylchreest J. 44. Watt E.	50. Donnelly A. 26. Fraser S. 14. Garza C. 20. Koumetio B. 1. McCracken J. (G) 18. Reilly C. 19. Robertson F. 12. Samuels I. 28. Sylla M.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Docherty T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Robertson C. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Cameron L. ⚽, Murray S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Carey G. ↑,
46', Griffith V. 🟨,
54', Holt J. 🟨,
66', Holt J. ↓, Watt E. ↑,
67', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
79', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Robertson F. ↑,
82', Watt E. ↓, Hamill C. ↑,
90', Murray S. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
90+6', 0 - 2, Cameron L. (Pen),

Preview

St. Johnstone is Relegated to Championship

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Dundee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in St. Johnstone: McClelland S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mikulic B. (Knee Injury) Mitchell Z. (Injury) Wright D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Dundee: Cameron L. (Injury) McGhee J. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Injury) Shaughnessy J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
14.05.25	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	St. Johnstone - Ross County	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	St. Johnstone - Kilmarnock	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Motherwell - St. Johnstone	3:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.04.25	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Dundee FC
Scottish Premier League
14.05.25	Dundee - Ross County	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Kilmarnock - Dundee	3:2 ✺
03.05.25	Dundee - Motherwell	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Hearts - Dundee	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Hibernian - Dundee	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
01.03.25	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1
05.01.25	St. Johnstone - Dundee	1:3
26.10.24	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:2
30.03.24	St. Johnstone - Dundee	1:2
11.02.24	Dundee - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.09.23	St. Johnstone - Dundee	2:2
23.04.22	Dundee - St. Johnstone	1:1

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