Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT, TNT Sports
Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Austria	DAZN
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	MAX, TNT Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC


	St. Louis City		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.45
	3.1	3.5	2.35	Watch
	3.03	3.47	2.32	Watch
	2.62	3.5	2.45
	3.32	3.39	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.53)	3.44 ↓ (3.61)	2.36 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
31.9%

Draw
27.7%

Columbus Crew
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis City's form might have worsened.

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

St. Louis City - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Columbus will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Columbus (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lundt B. (G) 5. Kessler H. 22. Hiebert K. 32. Baumgartl T. 15. Yaro J. 27. Morales A. 6. Wallem C. 17. Hartel M. 36. Teuchert C. 9. Joao Klauss 12. Pompeu C.	28. Schulte P. (G) 23. Farsi M. 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. 18. Amundsen M. 13. Jackson A. 6. Nagbe D. 7. Chambost D. 10. Rossi D. 19. Russell-Rowe J. 27. Arfsten M.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 59. Joyner M. 80. McSorley B. 31. Olivares C. (G) 7. Ostrak T. 20. Watts A. 13. Wentzel M. 71. Zalinsky J.	24. Bush E. (G) 21. Cheberko Y. 8. Gazdag D. 16. Habroune T. 20. Jones D. 12. Jones D. 29. Mrowka C. 48. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.
Coaches
Mellberg O.	Nancy W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Joao Klauss ⚽,
31', Yaro J. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
39', Pompeu C. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Moreira S. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A), Rossi D. (A2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jackson A. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Rossi D. ⚽, Chambost D. (A),
60', Teuchert C. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
76', Arfsten M. 🟨,
84', Rossi D. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
87', Hartel M. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
87', Morales A. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
90+1', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
90+1', Moreira S. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
90+5', Kessler H. 🟨,
90+7', Habroune T. ↓, Jones D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches St. Louis City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Columbus is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Columbus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Horn J. (Thigh Injury) Lowen E. (Personal Reasons) Reid J. (Foot Injury) Totland T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Columbus: Lappalainen L. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Nagbe D. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches St. Louis City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
05.04.25	Sporting Kansas City - St. Louis City	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	St. Louis City - Austin FC	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Philadelphia Union - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	St. Louis City - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - St. Louis City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLLWW
- Columbus Crew
MLS
05.04.25	Columbus Crew - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	DC United - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Columbus Crew - New York City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	San Diego - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.25	Columbus Crew - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
23.07.23	Columbus Crew - St. Louis City	2:1

Upcoming Matches