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Current Win Probability
DC United 37.3%
Draw 26.3%
Columbus Crew 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25.7%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.9%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
25%
37.5%
DC United - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for DC United: 4% – 71%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - DC United (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. DC United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 2. Nono K. 21. Dozzell A. 7. Peglow 25. Hopkins J. 11. Munteanu L. 9. Baribo T.
28. Schulte P. (G) 11. Lennon B. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 23. Farsi M. 7. Chambost D. 50. Karumanchi T. 16. Habroune T. 77. Martinez J. 8. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
32. Avilez O. 26. Bono A. (G) 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 13. Nealis S. 22. Ordaz N. 4. Peltola M. 23. Servania B. 8. Stroud J.
3. Bailly E. 26. Giaccone L. 20. Gomes A. 1. Hagen N. (G) 10. Mendez B. 31. Moreira S. 54. Pruter L. (G) 33. Tapia G. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Weiler R.
Courtois L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Karumanchi T. 🟨,
19', Ruvalcaba C. 🟨,
19', Peglow 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽, Munteanu L. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Baribo T. ⚽, Nono K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Habroune T. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
46', Ruvalcaba C. ↓, Moreira S. ↑,
46', Hopkins J. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽, Martinez J. (A),
57', Rowles K. 🟨,
60', Martinez J. ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
70', Chambost D. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
70', Munteanu L. ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,
77', Baribo T. ↓, Servania B. ↑,
81', Rodriguez S. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
90+2', Peglow ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
90+5', Johnson S. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 0.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Columbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in DC United: Segal G.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Knee Injury)
Bangoura S.
(Ankle Injury)
Camacho R.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in DC United: Rowles K.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Columbus: Thiare J.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, DC United won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, DC United won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Crew - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.