Match Info

MLS

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	St. Louis City		San Diego

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
	2.5	4	2.6	Watch
	2.59	3.94	2.58
	2.51	3.85	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.62
	2.54	3.75	2.53	Watch
	2.5	4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.43)	3.82 ↑ (3.56)	2.57 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
38.1%

Draw
24.9%

San Diego
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.8%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

St. Louis City - San Diego Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). San Diego will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - San Diego (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Lundt B. (G) 32. Baumgartl T. 22. Hiebert K. 15. Yaro J. 20. Watts A. 6. Wallem C. 38. Horn J. 7. Ostrak T. 36. Teuchert C. 17. Hartel M. 9. Joao Klauss	1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 2. Kumado W. 97. McVey C. 17. McNair P. 42. Bombino L. 20. Godoy A. 6. Tverskov J. 14. de la Torre L. 10. Dreyer A. 8. Valakari O. 11. Lozano H.
Substitutes
11. Becher S. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 59. Joyner M. 31. Olivares C. (G) 12. Pompeu C. 99. Reid J. 45. Silva X. 71. Zalinsky J.	70. Alvarado Jr A. 9. Angel T. 24. Boateng E. 5. Diop H. 32. Iloski M. 22. Negri F. 29. Saidi A. 13. Sisniega P. (G) 33. Verhoeven O.
Coaches
Mellberg O.	Varas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Valakari O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Ostrak T. 🟨,
67', Valakari O. ↓, Iloski M. ↑,
73', Horn J. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
73', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
73', Ostrak T. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Iloski M. ⚽, Godoy A. (A),
80', Kumado W. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
84', Baumgartl T. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Hiebert K. ⚽,
90+6', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
90+6', Baumgartl T. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Burki R. (Hand Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Totland T. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in San Diego: Ingvartsen M. (Leg Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
US Open Cup
07.05.25	St. Louis City - Union Omaha	2:0 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Los Angeles - St. Louis City	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	St. Louis City - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	St. Louis City - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTL
- San Diego FC
MLS
03.05.25	San Diego - FC Dallas	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	San Diego - Real Salt Lake	1:3 ✺
19.04.25	Charlotte - San Diego	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Colorado Rapids - San Diego	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	San Diego - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.03.25	San Diego - St. Louis City	0:0

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