Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Lower.com Field (Columbus, OH)

Referee: Koroleva K. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Columbus Crew		DC United

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.35	4.95	8.8	Watch
	1.42	5.09	7.22
	1.47	4.54	6.14	Watch
	1.36	4.8	8
	1.36	5.26	8.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.61)	4.91 ↑ (4.03)	7.62 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbus Crew
68.2%

Draw
19.3%

DC United
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Columbus Crew's performance.

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Columbus Crew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	9.4%	3.1%

Columbus Crew - DC United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Columbus (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (28 of 31 users predict this - 90.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.91% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Columbus Crew will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. 21. Cheberko Y. 27. Arfsten M. 7. Chambost D. 16. Habroune T. 6. Nagbe D. 8. Gazdag D. 10. Rossi D. 11. Aliyu I.	13. Barraza L. (G) 18. Dodson D. 3. Bartlett L. 22. Herrera A. 15. Rowles K. 28. Schnegg D. 23. Servania B. 10. Gabriel Pirani 6. Boris Enow 7. Peglow 20. Benteke C.
Substitutes
44. Brown T. 24. Bush E. (G) 20. Jones D. 26. Lappalainen L. 29. Mrowka C. 22. Romero A. (G) 19. Russell-Rowe J. 48. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.	12. Antley C. 14. Badji D. 25. Hopkins J. 77. Kijima H. 1. Kim J. (G) 11. Leal R. 4. Peltola M. 8. Stroud J. 16. Tubbs G.
Coaches
Nancy W.	Weiler R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Gazdag D. (Pen),
38', Moreira S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Benteke C. ⚽,
62', Benteke C. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
68', Habroune T. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
76', Rossi D. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
78', Peglow ↓, Leal R. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Lappalainen L. ⚽,
84', Herrera A. 🟨,
86', Dodson D. ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
86', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
86', Boris Enow ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
89', Herrera A. 🟨,
90+2', Gazdag D. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
90+2', Arfsten M. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.

Columbus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

DC United has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Columbus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Columbus is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury) Hagen N. (Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M. (Pelvis Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Murrell J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbus Crew
MLS
16.07.25	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:0 ✺
12.07.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:4 ✺
06.07.25	Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Columbus Crew - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWTWW
- DC United
MLS
16.07.25	Charlotte - DC United	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
09.07.25	Nashville SC - DC United	5:2 ✺
MLS
05.07.25	DC United - Atlanta United	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	DC United - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
29.03.25	DC United - Columbus Crew	1:2
28.09.24	DC United - Columbus Crew	2:2
06.04.24	Columbus Crew - DC United	1:1
08.04.23	DC United - Columbus Crew	0:2
04.03.23	Columbus Crew - DC United	2:0
13.07.22	DC United - Columbus Crew	2:2
30.04.22	Columbus Crew - DC United	3:0

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