The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 50.5%
Draw 23.3%
The Town 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
25.5%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
26.9%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
St. Louis City 2 - The Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 33. Pearce T. 50. Mikina G. (C) 91. Orozco J. 43. Cilley C. 49. Antwi S. 28. Perez M. 80. McSorley B. 75. Kuzain W. 98. Kidd M. 16. Jaaskelainen E.
31. Montali F. (G) 72. Ibarra R. 66. Cano A. 27. Eisner W. 74. Mbumba A. 50. Rajagopal R. 38. Mendoza E. 15. Medina C. 99. Walwyn-Bent K. 52. Donnery J. 80. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
79. Chavez E. 65. Clark E. 83. Cornelius L. 62. DiMaria J. 61. Dugan R. 46. Glover C. 66. Jaeger K. 59. Joyner M. 52. McPartlin L. (G)
70. Allen T. 88. Baptista D. 95. Chavira S. 44. Cowell C. 90. Hernandez O. 29. Spivey K. 89. Sweeney D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Kidd M. ⚽, McSorley B. (A),
22', Medina C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Donnery J. (A),
44', Mendoza E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Rajagopal R. 🟨,
61', Mbumba A. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
61', Walwyn-Bent K. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
67', Kidd M. ↓, Joyner M. ↑,
71', Jaaskelainen E. ↓, Glover C. ↑,
77', Donnery J. ↓, Allen T. ↑,
82', Ibarra R. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Joyner M. (Pen),
84', Rajagopal R. ↓, Spivey K. ↑,
90', Pearce T. ↓, Jaeger K. ↑,
90', Kuzain W. ↓, Dugan R. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Glover C. ⚽, Antwi S. (A),
90+5', Antwi S. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
St. Louis City 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The Town is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
The Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St. Louis City 2 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).