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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 46.2%
Draw 25.6%
Portland Timbers 2 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
25.2%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
26.1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 57. Jorgensen O. 66. Lillington Z. 98. De Gannes A. 45. Nwankwo C. 63. Clancy T. 88. McDonald P. 91. Zengue Z. 43. Paris S. 48. Lynch R. 79. Chavez E.
91. Joseph S. (G) 57. VanVoorhis B. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 77. Barjolo B. 63. Nunez D. 53. Ferguson C. 90. Kissel M.
Substitutes
83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 76. Goldstein S. 68. Jundt A. 53. Marion S. 50. Martinez N. (G) 85. Ota Y. 41. Pearson C. 49. Pickering N.
47. Cervantes D. 66. Cruthers C. 39. Griffith C. 73. Izoita E. 81. Mueller H. 51. Nelson M. (G) 48. Zendejas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nunez D. ↓, Izoita E. ↑,
48', Zengue Z. 🟨,
56', Paris S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
59', Kissel M. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
61', Clancy T. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Jorgensen O. ⚽, Zengue Z. (A),
70', Barjolo B. ↓, Griffith C. ↑,
74', Clancy T. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
74', Nwankwo C. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
74', Lillington Z. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Ferguson C. ⚽, Fernandez-Kim L. (A),
87', McDonald P. ↓, Ota Y. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4.
Recent form of St. Louis City 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Portland 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
St. Louis City 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:11. (average 3.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 4:1.7).
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Welsh C. (G) 
De Gannes A. 
Paris S. 
Bamford A. 
Lund N. 
Ondo C. 
Nunez D. 
Ota Y. 
Pearson C. 
Griffith C. 
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