The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 55.8%
Draw 23.9%
North Texas 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
21.8%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
20.9%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
The chances for North Texas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
St. Louis City 2 - North Texas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 33. Pearce T. 57. Jorgensen O. 66. Lillington Z. 98. De Gannes A. 43. Paris S. 88. McDonald P. 63. Clancy T. 44. Wagoner J. 83. Cornelius L. 49. Pickering N.
57. Montoya N. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 26. Starnes S. 14. Goncalves L. 27. Swann C. 32. Martins L. 11. James N. 10. Nys E. 36. Baran D. 16. Simmonds N.
Substitutes
62. Barclay J. 79. Chavez E. 26. Forcellini C. 76. Goldstein S. 68. Jundt A. 53. Marion S. 50. Martinez N. (G) 85. Ota Y. 41. Pearson C.
12. Biggar J. 4. Charles I. 13. Dymora E. (G) 21. Flowers B. 50. Garcia D. 25. Gibson J. 19. Luccin M. 18. Ospina T. 53. Vejrostek L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
27', Welsh C. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
35', Martins L. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Paris S. ⚽,
42', Jorgensen O. 🟨,
44', Baran D. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Simmonds N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martins L. ↓, Ospina T. ↑,
55', Clancy T. 🟨,
63', Swann C. ↓, Charles I. ↑,
66', McDonald P. ↓, Barclay J. ↑,
66', Clancy T. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
71', Baran D. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
82', Pearce T. ↓, Ota Y. ↑,
82', De Gannes A. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
83', Simmonds N. 🟨,
83', James N. ↓, Flowers B. ↑,
88', Alvaro Augusto 🟨,
Penalties (7 - 8)
1, Simmonds N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Lillington Z. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nys E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Barclay J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ospina T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Pickering N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Garcia D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pearson C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Newman E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Jundt A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Charles I. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Paris S. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Goncalves L. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Ota Y. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Starnes S. (Penalty Awarded),
8, Wagoner J. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Flowers B. (Penalty Awarded),
9, Jorgensen O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
North Texas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of home games.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).
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Welsh C. (G) 
De Gannes A. 
Paris S. 
Alvaro Augusto 
Nys E. 
Baran D. 
Simmonds N. 
Ota Y. 
Luccin M. 
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