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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 39.3%
Draw 25.4%
St. Louis City 2 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
25.5%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
24.8%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Bite K. (G) 32. Putt T. 90. Pechota L. 97. Clarkson J. 59. Farris J. 36. Friedman J. 35. Tarnue P. 92. Kabia A. (C) 50. Harwood M. 17. Randell D. 22. Caldeira M.
34. Welsh C. (G) 43. Paris S. 57. Jorgensen O. 41. Pearson C. 98. De Gannes A. 44. Wagoner J. 54. Gbadehan A. 48. Lynch R. 88. McDonald P. 83. Cornelius L. 42. Ault P.
Substitutes
99. Adebayo-Smith J. 61. Bernard J. 62. Bojang M. 75. Cruz H. 51. Grulke C. 39. Hille L. 71. Kibisu J. 46. Perkins K. (G) 64. Saidi I.
79. Chavez E. 93. Dowling D. 76. Goldstein S. 68. Jundt A. 50. Martinez N. (G) 45. Nwankwo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Kabia A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Caldeira M. ⚽, Putt T. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Clarkson J. (Own goal),
42', 2 - 1, Caldeira M. ⚽, Randell D. (A),
44', Harwood M. 🟨,
45+1', Tarnue P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', Gbadehan A. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
63', Cornelius L. ↓, Nwankwo C. ↑,
63', Friedman J. ↓, Adebayo-Smith J. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Ault P. ⚽, McDonald P. (A),
63', Harwood M. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
69', Ault P. ↓, Goldstein S. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Caldeira M. ⚽, Randell D. (A),
72', 4 - 2, Randell D. ⚽, Caldeira M. (A),
76', Jundt A. 🟨,
78', Paris S. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
79', Pearson C. ↓, Dowling D. ↑,
81', Caldeira M. ↓, Hille L. ↑,
84', Kabia A. ↓, Kibisu J. ↑,
85', 5 - 2, Randell D. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Minnesota 2 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United 2 - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Bite K. (G) 
Putt T. 
Pechota L. 
Tarnue P. 
Kabia A. (C) 
Caldeira M. 
Paris S. 
Pearson C. 
De Gannes A. 
Gbadehan A. 
