The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 68.8%
Draw 17.6%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
21.8%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
21.9%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City 2's performance.
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vancouver Whitecaps 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps 2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vancouver Whitecaps 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Louis City 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 41. Pearson C. (C) 66. Lillington Z. 98. De Gannes A. 43. Paris S. 88. McDonald P. 63. Clancy T. 48. Lynch R. 85. Ota Y. 80. McSorley B. 91. Zengue Z.
60. Rogers S. (G) 53. Mathe I. 43. Wright T. 62. Sewell R. (C) 48. Garnette M. 46. Bruletti C. 61. Rassak C. 51. Podgorni K. 68. Tsuji Y. 45. Zuluaga Y. 44. Ittycheria D.
Substitutes
79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 76. Goldstein S. 57. Jorgensen O. 68. Jundt A. 50. Martinez N. (G) 33. Pearce T. 49. Pickering N.
64. Brown T. 56. Campagna L. 70. Lodder T. 47. Popovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Lillington Z. ⚽,
10', McSorley B. ↓, Goldstein S. ↑,
14', Garnette M. 🟨,
40', Ittycheria D. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', 1 - 1, Ittycheria D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sewell R. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
62', Lynch R. ↓, Pearce T. ↑,
62', Goldstein S. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
73', Pearson C. ↓, Jorgensen O. ↑,
73', Ota Y. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
79', Zuluaga Y. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
85', Jorgensen O. 🟨,
90+4', Ittycheria D. ↓, Campagna L. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Popovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, McDonald P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Tsuji Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lillington Z. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rassak C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Zengue Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bruletti C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Paris S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Garnette M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
St. Louis City 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Whitecaps 2 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Whitecaps 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
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Welsh C. (G) 
Pearson C. (C) 
De Gannes A. 
Paris S. 
Ota Y. 
Mathe I. 
Garnette M. 
Zuluaga Y. 
Gbadehan A. 
Brown T. 
Popovic M. 
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