The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Texas 31.2%
Draw 24.5%
St. Louis City 2 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
23.7%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
22.7%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Texas's performance.
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Texas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
North Texas - St. Louis City 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 26. Starnes S. (C) 22. Alvaro Augusto 24. Torquato J. 20. Contreras J. 4. Charles I. 27. Swann C. 11. James N. 10. Nys E. 16. Simmonds N.
50. Martinez N. (G) 41. Pearson C. (C) 66. Lillington Z. 43. Paris S. 53. Marion S. 54. Gbadehan A. 63. Clancy T. 79. Chavez E. 88. McDonald P. 72. Kraus K. 62. Barclay J.
Substitutes
12. Biggar J. 21. Flowers B. 14. Goncalves L. 30. Kimbrough D. 15. Louis R. 19. Luccin M. 57. Montoya N. (G) 18. Ospina T. 6. Pela U.
83. Cornelius L. 98. De Gannes A. 76. Goldstein S. 68. Jundt A. 56. Wilson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Starnes S. 🟨,
14', Swann C. 🟨,
30', Gbadehan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Simmonds N. ↓, Louis R. ↑,
46', Lillington Z. ↓, De Gannes A. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Louis R. ⚽, Swann C. (A),
59', Clancy T. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
68', Barclay J. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
68', Gbadehan A. ↓, Goldstein S. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Swann C. ⚽,
73', Swann C. ↓, Ospina T. ↑,
73', James N. ↓, Kimbrough D. ↑,
76', Kraus K. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
84', Newman E. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
90', Charles I. ↓, Flowers B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Louis R. ⚽, Kimbrough D. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
North Texas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
St. Louis City 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).
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Dymora E. (G) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Contreras J. 
Charles I. 
James N. 
Nys E. 
Simmonds N. 
Gbadehan A. 
Kimbrough D. 
Louis R. 
Luccin M. 
Pela U. 
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