The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Mirren 38.8%
Draw 28.7%
St. Johnstone 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
27.9%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
27.4%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
St. Mirren - St. Johnstone Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). St. Johnstone will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 40% โ 93.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Chapman J. (G) 2. Richardson J. 22. Fraser M. (C) 13. Gogic A. 3. John D. 8. Carr R. 48. Nsio P. 10. Ramos S. 88. Phillips K. 23. Mochrie C. R. 9. Sule E.
1. Steward T. (G) 33. Smith L. 5. Mitchell Z. 3. Diabate C. 14. Foulds M. 42. McAlear R. 8. Holt J. (C) 11. Stanton S. 10. Gullan J. 99. Paton R. 9. Fowler J.
Substitutes
4. Donnelly L. 32. Douglas L. 53. Fieldson H. 7. Idowu R. 5. King R. 30. Taylor F. 16. Thomas L. 27. Urminsky P. (G) 20. Young J.
15. Baird J. 4. Boyes M. 23. Chalmers L. 19. Finlayson D. 18. Fotheringham K. 17. Lloyd L. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 7. Steven T. 25. Tait M.
Coaches
McLeish C.
Valakari S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Fraser M. 🟨,
29', Carr R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Gullan J. (Penalty Awarded),
51', Fraser M. ↓, Donnelly L. ↑,
63', Gullan J. 🟨,
64', Sule E. ↓, Young J. ↑,
64', Mochrie C. R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
64', Fowler J. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Phillips K. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Ramos S. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
79', Holt J. ↓, Fotheringham K. ↑,
84', Smith L. ↓, Lloyd L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 3.
St. Mirren is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St. Johnstone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Knee Injury)
Baccus K.
(Hamstring Injury)
John D.
(Inactive)
Mullen R.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
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Chapman J. (G) 
Richardson J. 
Fraser M. (C) 
Gogic A. 
John D. 
Ramos S. 
Phillips K. 
Donnelly L. 
King R. 
Urminsky P. (G) 
Valakari S. 
