Match Info

2. Liga - Round 24

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: NV Arena (Sankt Pölten)

Referee: Altmann W. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	St. Pölten		Ried

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	3	3.25	2.33
	3.1	3.34	2.34
	3.06	3.25	2.32	Watch
	3.03	3.23	2.33	Watch
	3	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.42)	3.27 ↓ (3.51)	2.32 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
31.1%

Draw
28.6%

Ried
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

26.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.9%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ried might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ried could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pölten - Ried Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hulsmann T. (G) 34. Krasniqi L. 15. Skogen S. 2. Thesker S. (C) 23. Carlson D. 31. Gemicibasi T. 6. Neumayer A. 47. Naamo D. 7. Amoah W. 71. M'Buyi C. 17. Harakate R.	1. Leitner A. (C) 5. Havenaar N. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 31. Wohlmuth F. 10. Grosse M. 8. Rasner M. 26. Mayer J. 21. Bumberger D. 12. Bajic A. 17. Pomer P.
Substitutes
4. Bauer S. 5. Buchegger L. 70. Dombaxi G. 20. Kirejczyk G. 12. Kurt C. 8. Messerer C. 13. Strasser P. (G)	3. Agbenyenu L. 19. Berger D. 43. Celic N. 7. Marinsek N. 18. Rossdorfer F. 29. van Wyk A. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
Coaches
Tanrivermis T.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Gemicibasi T. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Sollbauer M. ⚽,
45+1', Carlson D. 🟨,
45+1', Havenaar N. 🟨,
45+3', Gemicibasi T. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Mayer J. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,
62', Pomer P. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
69', Naamo D. ↓, Messerer C. ↑,
69', Neumayer A. ↓, Dombaxi G. ↑,
69', Leitner A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, M'Buyi C. (Pen),
73', Amoah W. ↓, Kurt C. ↑,
77', Rasner M. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Havenaar N. ⚽, Celic N. (A),
90', Krasniqi L. ↓, Kirejczyk G. ↑,
90', Havenaar N. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
90+2', Bajic A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pölten won 1.

Recent matches St. Pölten is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ried is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in St. Pölten: Gschweidl B. (Knee Injury) Just E. (Inactive) Riegler D. (Knee Injury) Stendera M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ried: Sane S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Ried: Eza W. (Ankle Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches St. Pölten won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pölten won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
11.04.25	Stripfing - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	St. Pölten - ASK Voitsberg	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Admira - St. Pölten	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	St. Pölten - First Vienna	3:3 ✺
07.03.25	St. Pölten - Kapfenberger SV	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTW
- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
11.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Ried	0:5 ✺
04.04.25	Ried - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	ASK Voitsberg - Ried	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.25	LASK Linz - Ried	1:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
15.03.25	Ried - Lafnitz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
06.10.24	Ried - St. Pölten	2:4
10.05.24	St. Pölten - Ried	0:4
29.10.23	Ried - St. Pölten	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Ried - St. Pölten	2:2
Austrian Bundesliga
27.04.21	St. Pölten - Ried	0:0
24.04.21	Ried - St. Pölten	2:1
14.02.21	Ried - St. Pölten	1:1

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