Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	St. Pauli II		SC Weiche-08

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.85	2.05
	3.6	4.07	1.92
	3.03	3.82	1.97
	3.5	3.98	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	3.93 ↓ (4)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
28.4%

Draw
23.6%

SC Weiche-08
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

22.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

21.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

SC Weiche-08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Weiche-08 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

St. Pauli II - SC Weiche 08 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', 1 - 0, Scacun O. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Hartmann D. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Hartmann D. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Gyamenah R. M. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 3.

Recent form of St. Pauli II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SC Weiche-08 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St. Pauli II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

SC Weiche-08 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli II won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
13.09.25	Schöningen - St. Pauli II	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	St. Pauli II - Eintracht Norderstedt	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - St. Pauli II	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	St. Pauli II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Jeddeloh - St. Pauli II	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL
- SC Weiche-08
German Regionalliga North
12.09.25	SC Weiche-08 - Drochtersen Assel	3:2 ✺
05.09.25	SC Weiche-08 - Hamburger II	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Altona - SC Weiche-08	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	SC Weiche-08 - Blau-Weiß Lohne	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hannover II - SC Weiche-08	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
03.05.25	SC Weiche-08 - St. Pauli II	0:1
20.10.24	St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08	2:2
17.03.24	St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08	0:0
23.09.23	SC Weiche-08 - St. Pauli II	0:5
06.04.23	SC Weiche-08 - St. Pauli II	0:1
11.09.22	St. Pauli II - SC Weiche-08	1:4
23.02.22	SC Weiche-08 - St. Pauli II	3:3

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