Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday


	Staal Jørpeland		Moss

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.78
	3.9	4.25	1.65
	3.6	3.7	1.78
	3.79	4.16	1.79
	3.8	3.5	1.73
	3.84	3.92	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.04)	3.86 ↓ (4.2)	1.75 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
24.2%

Draw
23.6%

Moss
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

21.7%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.1%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Moss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moss than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	15.8%	63.2%

Staal Jørpeland - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Staal Jørpeland will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Moss will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moss: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Moss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Moss have a series of home games.

In this match Moss is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.06.22	Strømmen - Staal Jørpeland	4:2 ✺
18.06.22	Staal Jørpeland - Øygarden	Canceled ✺
12.06.22	Notodden - Staal Jørpeland	1:3 ✺
04.06.22	Staal Jørpeland - Ullern	1:1 ✺
28.05.22	Kvik Halden - Staal Jørpeland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 L?WTT
- Moss FK
Norwegian NM Cup
29.06.22	Moss - Start	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.06.22	Moss - Egersund	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.06.22	Moss - Sarpsborg 08	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.06.22	Sotra - Moss	0:1 ✺
12.06.22	Moss - Arendal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL

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