Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 14

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)


	Stabæk		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.6	2.25
	3.1	3.65	2.2
	2.94	3.77	2.37
	2.8	3.3	2.15
	2.92	3.74	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.55	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	3.59 ↓ (3.6)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
32.2%

Draw
26.2%

Viking Stavanger
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Viking Stavanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.5%	89.5%

Stabæk - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pettersson I. (G) 2. Pedersen K. 3. Naess N. 6. Skovgaard A. 33. Pachonik T. 8. Edwards C. 47. Lucca J. 11. Walstad N. 24. Kostadinov K. 14. Krogstad F. (C) 69. Hogh K.	30. Gunnarsson P. (G) 18. Bjorshol S. 5. Diop D. T. 4. Brekalo D. 20. Pattynama S. 14. Yazbek P. 8. Solbakken M. 11. de Lanlay Y. 7. D'Agostino N. 9. Salvesen L. 10. Tripic Z. (C)
Substitutes
20. Andresen A. 9. Bakenga M. 10. Geelmuyden H. 7. Haugen F. 5. Jensen N. 15. Ottesen S. 1. Ulla M. (G) 4. Wangberg S.	27. Bjarnason B. 2. Haugen H. J. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 16. Lokberg K. 1. Ostbo A. (G) 15. Sandberg N. 29. Svendsen S. 21. Tangen H. 3. Vevatne V.
Coaches
Bohinen L.	Jensen M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 1.

Stabæk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Viking is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stabæk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Viking will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.07.23	Sandefjord - Stabæk	0:0 ✺
03.07.23	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Tromsø - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Stabæk - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
04.06.23	Lillestrøm SK - Stabæk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.07.23	Viking Stavanger - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Vålerenga - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
28.06.23	Raufoss - Viking Stavanger	5:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.06.23	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
11.09.21	Stabæk - Viking Stavanger	1:3
30.06.21	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	3:3
01.11.20	Stabæk - Viking Stavanger	1:1
16.08.20	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	3:3
Club Friendly
23.02.20	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	1:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
06.10.19	Stabæk - Viking Stavanger	0:0
Norwegian NM Cup
26.06.19	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	5:2

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