Match Info

NORWAY: NM CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Amland S. (Nor)


	Raufoss		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.45
	5.25	4.5	1.42
	5.5	4.2	1.45
	5.48	5.41	1.46
	5.8	4.33	1.42
	6	4.95	1.46
	5.4	4.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↓ (6.57)	4.71 ↑ (4.54)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
16.5%

Draw
19.6%

Viking Stavanger
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

19.9%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Viking Stavanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Raufoss - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lauvli O. (C) 11. Fremstad N. 14. Haruna J. 4. Westerlund S. 20. Simenstad G. 10. Mettler L. 6. Hammer H. 22. Teigen A. 16. Orsahl J. 9. Helmersen A. 7. Osterud A.	1. Ostbo A. (G) 2. Haugen H. J. 5. Diop D. T. 3. Vevatne V. (C) 20. Pattynama S. 14. Yazbek P. 11. de Lanlay Y. 21. Tangen H. 27. Bjarnason B. 7. D'Agostino N. 17. Austbo E.
Substitutes
17. Befring H. 26. Brattbakk F. 3. Engebakken T. 31. Fagereng A. (G) 24. Gashnjani H. 5. Gudjonsson A. 19. Loberg T. 15. Racaj A. 18. Somesi K.	41. Berg J. 4. Brekalo D. 30. Gunnarsson P. (G) 16. Lokberg K. 9. Salvesen L. 15. Sandberg N. 29. Svendsen S. 10. Tripic Z.
Coaches
Walemark J.	Jensen M.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Raufoss could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viking is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Jerv - Raufoss	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	0:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Grorud - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTW
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.06.23	Viking Stavanger - Brann	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.06.23	Viking Stavanger - Molde	3:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Vidar - Viking Stavanger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW

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