Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Stabæk 2		Haugesund 2

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.00	4.50
	1.40	5.00	4.50
	1.48	5.59	4.55
	1.63	4.74	3.81	Watch
	1.38	5.50	4.50
	1.42	6.58	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (3.15)	5.4 ↑ (4.6)	4.5 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
62.7%

Draw
16.9%

Haugesund 2
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

19.1%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

17.1%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stabæk 2's performance.

Haugesund 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haugesund 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (-31.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stabæk 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund 2 than the current prediction. (+27.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haugesund 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stabæk 2 - Haugesund 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Rapp G. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Rapp G. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Varvin-Kvamme E. ⚽,
31', 3 - 1, Seone I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 4 - 1, Ferrington R. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th in the Relegation).

Stabæk 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Haugesund 2 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Haugesund 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Stabæk 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stabaek 2	22	9	3	10	47:49	-2	30
13	Haugesund 2	22	6	4	12	40:63	-23	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
27.09.26	Stabæk 2 - Flekkerøy	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Odd 2 - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Stabæk 2 - Vindbjart	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Viking 2 - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Stabæk 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWLW
- Haugesund 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
28.09.26	Haugesund 2 - Hinna	2:4 ✺
21.09.26	Madla - Haugesund 2	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Haugesund 2 - Våg	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Odd 2 - Haugesund 2	7:1 ✺
10.08.26	Haugesund 2 - Viking 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
27.04.26	Haugesund 2 - Stabæk 2	3:2

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