Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 27

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Stabæk		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.5	Watch
	5.25	4.6	1.5
	6	4.75	1.5	Watch
	6	5.03	1.51
	5.94	5.05	1.5
	5.5	4.6	1.4
	5.6	4.8	1.5	Watch
	5.2	4.7	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (4.7)	4.79 ↑ (4.1)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
16.7%

Draw
19.8%

Bodø Glimt
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.6%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodø Glimt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

Stabæk - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pettersson I. (G) 15. Ottesen S. 2. Pedersen K. 3. Naess N. 11. Walstad N. 8. Edwards C. 24. Kostadinov K. 14. Krogstad F. (C) 17. Vinge R. E. 9. Bakenga M. 19. Kabran K.	12. Haikin N. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 18. Moe B. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 15. Bjorkan F. 19. Fet S. B. 77. Berg P. (C) 8. Gronbaek A. 27. Sorli S. 29. Moumbagna F. 7. Pellegrino A.
Substitutes
20. Andresen A. 10. Geelmuyden H. 23. Jelacic K. 5. Jensen N. 16. Kjerrumgaard L. 40. Olderheim S. 33. Pachonik T. 50. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 1. Ulla M. (G)	6. Amundsen I. H. 10. Bassi D. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 25. Gulliksen T. 28. Kapskarmo O. 14. Saltnes U. 20. Sjovold F. 30. Sorensen A. 99. Zugelj N.
Coaches
Bradley B.	Knutsen K.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 0.

Recent matches Stabæk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bodø Glimt is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Bodø Glimt have a series of home games.

In this match Bodø Glimt is a favorite.

There will not play in Stabæk: Hogh K. (Injury)

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Elabdellaoui O. (Injury) Espejord R. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Tjaerandsen-Skau A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
29.10.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Rosenborg - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Stabæk - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
04.10.23	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	5:2 ✺
30.09.23	Stabæk - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TTWWL
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Sandefjord	4:3 ✺
08.10.23	Molde - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
16.04.23	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	4:0
03.10.21	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	0:3
27.06.21	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	4:1
06.12.20	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	5:2
30.07.20	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	2:2
15.09.19	Bodø Glimt - Stabæk	3:3
28.04.19	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	2:0

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