Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 20

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)


	Stabæk		Hamarkameratene

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.5
	2.05	3.75	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.67	3.64
	1.95	3.5	3.3
	2	3.66	3.56	Watch
	2.04	3.55	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.09)	3.6 ↑ (3.41)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
46.7%

Draw
26.2%

Hamarkameratene
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hamarkameratene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamarkameratene than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	14.3%	23.8%

Stabæk - Hamarkameratene Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). HamKam will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stabæk: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pettersson I. (G) 15. Ottesen S. 4. Wangberg S. (C) 3. Naess N. 11. Walstad N. 8. Edwards C. 18. Vetti G. 24. Kostadinov K. 17. Vinge R. E. 9. Bakenga M. 19. Kabran K.	12. Sandberg M. (G) 4. Opsahl H. 6. Norheim J. 26. Bjarnason B. 3. Gammelby J. 19. Kurtovic W. 7. Onsrud K. (C) 2. Kongsro V. 10. Mawa M. 16. Kirkevold P. 8. Kjaergaard O.
Substitutes
20. Andresen A. 10. Geelmuyden H. 7. Haugen F. 23. Jelacic K. 16. Kjerrumgaard L. 14. Krogstad F. 33. Pachonik T. 1. Ulla M. (G) 31. Veum O.	17. Bjorlo M. 9. Enkerud J. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 1. Jendal L. (G) 21. Jonsson V. 33. Melgalvis A. 27. Nouri A. 11. Soras T. 14. Udahl H.
Coaches
Bradley B.	Michelsen J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 4.

Stabæk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches HamKam is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stabæk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stabæk will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Stabæk: Hogh K. (Injury)

There will not play in HamKam: Dunn-Johnson J. (Injury) Sjolstad F. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.09.23	Stabæk - Tromsø	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Aalesunds - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Stabæk - Brann	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Viking Stavanger - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Hamarkameratene
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.09.23	Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	4:4 ✺
20.08.23	Hamarkameratene - Rosenborg	3:0 ✺
13.08.23	Aalesunds - Hamarkameratene	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.23	Hamarkameratene - Stabæk	3:2
Club Friendly
02.05.21	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	2:1
15.02.20	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	3:1
25.01.19	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	3:1
05.03.14	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	3:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
03.08.13	Stabæk - Hamarkameratene	1:5
06.04.13	Hamarkameratene - Stabæk	2:2

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