Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 16

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua)

Referee: Moen S. (Nor)


	Stabæk		Molde

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.95
	4	3.65	1.88
	4.14	3.66	1.94
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	3.8	3.68	1.93	Watch
	3.9	3.65	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.32)	3.55 ↓ (3.72)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
24.2%

Draw
26.5%

Molde
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

24.8%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

24.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	9.5%	69%

Stabæk - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 9 - 21.4%). Molde will win (votes: 29 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 55% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pettersson I. (G) 2. Pedersen K. 3. Naess N. 6. Skovgaard A. 15. Ottesen S. 10. Geelmuyden H. 47. Lucca J. 14. Krogstad F. 11. Walstad N. 9. Bakenga M. 69. Hogh K.	1. Karlstrom J. (G) 19. Haugan E. 2. Bjornbak M. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 14. Knudtzon E. 20. Eriksen K. 15. Kaasa M. 22. Grodem M. 31. Lovik M. 10. Kitolano E. 9. Berisha V.
Substitutes
20. Andresen A. 8. Edwards C. 5. Jensen N. 24. Kostadinov K. 40. Olderheim S. 33. Pachonik T. 1. Ulla M. (G) 31. Veum O. 4. Wangberg S.	16. Breivik E. 11. Brynhildsen O. 7. Eikrem M. 6. Ellingsen M. 28. Haugen K. 34. Lervik P. (G) 21. Linnes M. 33. Odegard N. 4. Tiedemann B.
Coaches
Bohinen L.	Moe E.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 2.

Stabæk has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Molde is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Molde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 25-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.07.23	Hamarkameratene - Stabæk	3:2 ✺
16.07.23	Stabæk - Viking Stavanger	0:1 ✺
09.07.23	Sandefjord - Stabæk	0:0 ✺
03.07.23	Stabæk - Strømsgodset	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Tromsø - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Molde FK
UEFA Champions League
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.07.23	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	5:1 ✺
15.07.23	Vålerenga - Molde	0:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.07.23	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.07.23	Molde - Brann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
30.04.23	Molde - Stabæk	2:3
Norwegian NM Cup
18.03.23	Stabæk - Molde	2:1 penalties
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.10.21	Stabæk - Molde	0:3
20.06.21	Molde - Stabæk	2:1
21.11.20	Stabæk - Molde	0:3
28.06.20	Molde - Stabæk	4:1
23.09.19	Stabæk - Molde	1:2

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