Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	HJK		Molde

	1	X	2
	5	3.9	1.65
	4.8	3.6	1.65
	5	3.75	1.68	Watch
	5.5	3.86	1.68
	4.94	3.79	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.75	1.62
	5.39	3.91	1.68
	5	3.75	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.1)	3.79 ↑ (3.4)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
18.7%

Draw
24.8%

Molde
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.1%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

24.6%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13%	87%

HJK - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: Molde will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Nijhuis T. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 3. Antzoulas G. 5. O'Shaughnessy D. 30. Pallas N. 10. Lingman L. (C) 22. Moller L. 23. Kokcu O. 8. Kanellopoulos G. 7. Hostikka S. 94. Erwin L.	22. Posiadala A. (G) 21. Linnes M. (C) 2. Bjornbak M. 4. Lund V. 16. Breivik E. 23. Granaas S. 10. Enggaard M. 15. Kaasa M. 28. Haugen K. 20. Eriksen K. 9. Ihler F.
Substitutes
17. Bande H. 24. Boamah M. 20. Hudd R. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 54. Mentu P. 42. Meriluoto K. 1. Ost J. (G) 80. Palumets K. 9. Plange L. 37. Tanaka A. 4. Toivio J.	26. Amundsen I. 8. Gulbrandsen F. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 32. Lervik P. (G) 31. Lovik M. 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N. 18. Stenevik H.
Coaches
Korkeakunnas T.	Strande T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Enggaard M. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Enggaard M. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Ihler F. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Erwin L. ⚽, Lingman L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ylitolva M. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
46', Moller L. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
54', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
64', Lingman L. 🟨,
68', Ihler F. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
68', Kaasa M. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
72', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
79', Kokcu O. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
79', O'Shaughnessy D. ↓, Toivio J. ↑,
83', Bjornbak M. ↓, Amundsen I. ↑,
83', Granaas S. ↓, Odegard N. ↑,
84', Hostikka S. ↓, Hudd R. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Meriluoto K. ⚽,
90+5', Antzoulas G. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches HJK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

HJK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Muscle Injury) Oyvann C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches HJK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams HJK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Club Friendly
05.12.24	Djurgården - HJK	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Panathinaikos - HJK	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - HJK	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.11.24	HJK - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	HJK - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWLW
- Molde FK
Norwegian NM Cup
07.12.24	Fredrikstad - Molde	1:0 penalties ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Strømsgodset - Molde	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.11.24	Molde - APOEL	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Molde - Brann	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Molde	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Molde - HJK	2:0
25.07.23	HJK - Molde	1:0
Club Friendly
11.03.15	Molde - HJK	1:0

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