Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 13

Date: 25 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Fred-Aubert (Saint-Brieuc)


	Stade Briochin		Cholet

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.5
	2.04	3.4	3.05
	2.06	3.25	3.4
	1.91	3.5	4.21
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	1.89	3.32	3.88	Watch
	1.97	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.55 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Briochin
46.4%

Draw
27.8%

Cholet
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Briochin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Briochin's performance.

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cholet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Briochin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Briochin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cholet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	17.4%	43.5%

Stade Briochin - Cholet Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Stade Briochin will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Cholet will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cholet: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Stade Briochin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cholet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stade Briochin will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stade Briochin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Briochin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Briochin
French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Versailles - Stade Briochin	0:1 ✺
04.11.22	Stade Briochin - Bastia-Borgo	2:2 ✺
21.10.22	Nancy - Stade Briochin	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Stade Briochin - Concarneau	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Dunkerque - Stade Briochin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLL
- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
11.11.22	Cholet - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Cholet - Le Mans	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Plabennec - Cholet	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 3
24.10.22	Versailles - Cholet	2:2 ✺
12.10.22	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
15.04.22	Cholet - Stade Briochin	0:3
19.11.21	Stade Briochin - Cholet	1:1
13.03.21	Stade Briochin - Cholet	0:1
09.10.20	Cholet - Stade Briochin	5:4

Stade Briochin - Cholet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide