Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	Cholet		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.6	3.3	2	Watch
	4.01	3.39	2.02
	4.02	3.39	1.99
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.88	3.22	1.95	Watch
	3.45	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.15)	3.26 ↑ (3.1)	1.97 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
24.9%

Draw
28.3%

Le Mans
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

27.5%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cholet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Mans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Cholet - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Secchi T. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 37. Bafounta K. 2. Diop A. 12. Jarju Y. 15. Monzango N. 11. Ouattara M. 35. Quarshie J. 6. Renaud T. 25. Robinand J. 7. Sidibe M.	1. Hatfout E. (G) 18. Boussaid M. 26. Colas E. 6. Coutadeur M. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 22. Njoh L. 29. Quarshie E. 12. Ribelin A. 19. Vincent A. 5. Voyer H. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
19. Botton S. 24. Diop A. 17. Gameiro A. 32. Herisse N. 30. Ingrand Y. (G)	11. Aiko M. 7. Amir Z. 30. Delbecque A. (G) 8. Lauray A. 24. Lehoux P.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

Le Mans will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cholet won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Rouen FC - Cholet	5:1 ✺
24.11.23	Cholet - Martigues	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.23	Coulaines - Cholet	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
10.11.23	Sochaux - Cholet	2:0 ✺
03.11.23	Cholet - GOAL FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Le Mans - Nancy	1:3 ✺
24.11.23	Villefranche - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Avranches - Le Mans	2:1 ✺
20.10.23	Épinal - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.23	Le Mans - Cholet	1:4
French Ligue 3
31.03.23	Le Mans - Cholet	2:0
04.11.22	Cholet - Le Mans	2:1
29.04.22	Cholet - Le Mans	1:0
25.01.22	Le Mans - Cholet	1:0
10.05.21	Cholet - Le Mans	2:2
08.01.21	Le Mans - Cholet	2:0

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