Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Pierre Blouen (Cholet)


	Cholet		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.25
	1.52	3.6	5.75
	1.54	3.85	5.4
	1.55	3.98	6.58
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.53	3.92	5.6	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.09)	3.78 ↑ (3.02)	5.74 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
59.8%

Draw
24.3%

Bastia-Borgo
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.4%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.4%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cholet's performance.

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia-Borgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cholet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastia-Borgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cholet - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cholet: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 2.

Recent matches Cholet is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bastia-Borgo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cholet is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cholet won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Nancy - Cholet	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Cholet - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Cholet - Orleans	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Cholet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTLTT
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Versailles	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Le Mans	2:2 ✺
16.09.22	Nancy - Bastia-Borgo	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	2:4 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
09.04.22	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
05.11.21	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	1:2
26.03.21	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	0:0
24.11.20	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	3:1
21.02.20	Cholet - Bastia-Borgo	0:0
13.09.19	Bastia-Borgo - Cholet	3:2

Cholet - Bastia-Borgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide