Match Info

MALI: Premiere Division - Round 14

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Stade Malien		AS Police de Bamako

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8.25
	1.53	3.4	6.6
	1.54	2.92	8.96
	1.51	3.3	8.27	Watch
	1.58	3.61	6.2
	1.53	3.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.32)	3.52 ↓ (4.25)	7.48 ↓ (9.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
61.5%

Draw
26.2%

AS Police de Bamako
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

21.5%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Malien's form might have worsened.

AS Police de Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Malien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Police de Bamako than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Coulibaly D. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Cisse M. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, Diarra B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Malien won 2.

Stade Malien is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AS Police is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

AS Police could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stade Malien have a series of home games.

In this match Stade Malien is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stade Malien to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Stade Malien won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Malien won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
04.03.25	Bougouba - Stade Malien	2:3 ✺
24.02.25	Stade Malien - Onze Créateurs	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	Stade Malien - Korofina	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Stade Malien - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Stade Malien - Étoiles du Mandé	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW
- AS Police de Bamako
Malian Première Division
19.02.25	USFAS Bamako - AS Police de Bamako	3:2 ✺
07.02.25	AS Police de Bamako - Étoiles du Mandé	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Afrique Football Elite - AS Police de Bamako	3:0 ✺
27.01.25	AS Police de Bamako - Real Bamako	0:3 ✺
23.01.25	Djoliba - AS Police de Bamako	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
16.05.24	AS Police de Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1
07.01.24	Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako	1:0
01.04.23	AS Police de Bamako - Stade Malien	0:0
19.05.22	Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako	0:1
18.12.21	AS Police de Bamako - Stade Malien	2:1
08.06.21	Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako	3:3
02.04.21	AS Police de Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1

Stade Malien - AS Police de Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide