Match Info

MALI: Premiere Division - Round 4

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Stade Malien		Étoiles du Mandé

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.4	8.6
	1.24	5.01	9.73
	1.28	4.91	9.77	Watch
	1.4	4.62	7.19
	1.32	4.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.52)	4.67 ↑ (3.66)	8.78 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
69.9%

Draw
19.6%

Étoiles du Mandé
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

23.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Malien's performance.

Étoiles du Mandé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Étoiles du Mandé might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoiles du Mandé than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Étoiles du Mandé could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stade Malien - Étoiles du Mandé Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stade Malien will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Kouma L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 0, Cisse M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Stade Malien is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Étoiles du Mandé is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Étoiles du Mandé could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stade Malien is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
09.02.25	Binga - Stade Malien	0:4 ✺
05.02.25	Afrique Football Elite - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	1:1 ✺
30.01.25	Stade Malien - Real Bamako	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Bougouni - Stade Malien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTTW
- Étoiles du Mandé
Malian Première Division
07.02.25	AS Police de Bamako - Étoiles du Mandé	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Étoiles du Mandé - Korofina	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Binga - Étoiles du Mandé	3:0 ✺
22.01.25	Étoiles du Mandé - Bakaridjan	0:2 ✺
16.01.25	Bougouni - Étoiles du Mandé	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TTLLW

Stade Malien - Étoiles du Mandé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide