Match Info

MALI: PREMIERE DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Stade Malien		Black Stars de Badalabougou

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.6	11
	1.29	4.43	9.55
	1.29	4.44	9.55
	1.25	4.33	9
	1.24	4.8	11.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.65)	4.52 ↑ (3.42)	10.12 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
71.2%

Draw
19.9%

Black Stars de Badalabougou
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

25.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Malien's performance.

Black Stars de Badalabougou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Black Stars de Badalabougou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Black Stars de Badalabougou than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Black Stars de Badalabougou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou Predictions

Users Predictions: Stade Malien will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Stade Malien is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Black Stars has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stade Malien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stade Malien is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Stade Malien won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Stade Malien won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
Malian Première Division
23.12.23	Stade Malien - Afrique Football Elite	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
20.12.23	Stade Malien - Sekhukhune United	1:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
16.12.23	Club Olympique de Bamako - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
10.12.23	Sekhukhune United - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Stade Malien - Berkane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTL
- AS Black Stars de Badalabougou
Malian Première Division
22.12.23	USFAS Bamako - Black Stars de Badalabougou	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Onze Créateurs	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Koro	0:1 ✺
05.12.23	AS Police de Bamako - Black Stars de Badalabougou	1:0 ✺
01.12.23	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Real Bamako	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
13.06.23	Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou	0:0
27.12.22	Black Stars de Badalabougou - Stade Malien	0:0
24.04.22	Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou	2:0

Stade Malien - Black Stars de Badalabougou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide