Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 6

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade du 26 Mars (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 8
Canada	beIN Connect
South-africa	SABC Plus
Usa	beIN Connect


	Stade Malien		Lunda Sul

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	1.48	3.6	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	7.3 ↓ (8.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Stade Malien
62%

Draw
25.5%

Lunda Sul
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

25.7%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

15.4%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lunda Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-24%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunda Sul than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunda Sul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stade Malien - Lunda Sul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Solomane C. (G) 34. Coulibaly A. 15. Doumbia M. (C) 29. Magassouba S. 13. Cisse H. 8. Kouma L. 4. Coulibaly F. 35. Traore M. 33. Traore B. 32. Cisse M. 38. Coulibaly O.	1. Nayan (G) 3. Afonso J. 14. Malungo Crespo A. M. 5. Junior Goiano (C) 26. Keta M. 18. Mulundu J. 6. Platini 19. Manucho 25. Cuca 15. Magrinho 27. Joca
Substitutes
6. Camara M. 10. Coulibaly D. 5. Coulibaly Y. 9. Diaby S. 11. Diallo M. 7. Drame S. 37. Kamate F. 30. Mandjan H. 16. Sy C. (G)	22. Afonso B. (G) 23. Cachimbombo S. C. 13. Kalemba B. 31. Neymar 36. Patricios A. 20. Robson 33. Tshabalala G. 16. Ximba D.
Coaches
Traore S.	Maurilio S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Joca ⚽,
32', Afonso J. 🟨,
43', Doumbia M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Joca 🟨,
64', Traore B. ↓, Coulibaly D. ↑,
64', Traore M. ↓, Mandjan H. ↑,
65', Joca ↓, Robson ↑,
69', Magrinho 🟨,
74', Cisse M. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
74', Coulibaly A. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
79', Magrinho ↓, Cachimbombo S. C. ↑,
79', Mulundu J. ↓, Patricios A. ↑,
81', Patricios A. 🟨,
89', Manucho ↓, Tshabalala G. ↑,
89', Cuca ↓, Ximba D. ↑,
90+1', Cachimbombo S. C. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Stade Malien have a series of guest games.

In this match Stade Malien is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stade Malien won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Malien
CAF Confederation Cup
12.01.25	Stellenbosch - Stade Malien	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Stade Malien - Berkane	0:1 ✺
Malian Première Division
31.12.24	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Berkane - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLT
- CD Lunda Sul
CAF Confederation Cup
12.01.25	Lunda Sul - Berkane	0:0 ✺
05.01.25	Stellenbosch - Lunda Sul	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Angolan Girabola
01.12.24	Wiliete - Lunda Sul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
08.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stade Malien	1:1

Stade Malien - Lunda Sul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide