Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 10

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	USFAS Bamako		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.78	2.35	Watch
	3.57	2.88	2.09
	3.48	2.72	2.32	Watch
	3.4	2.63	2.15
	3.59	2.82	2.14	Watch
	3.4	2.83	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.31)	2.78 ↓ (2.84)	2.2 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USFAS Bamako
26.4%

Draw
32.5%

Stade Malien
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

32.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USFAS Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USFAS Bamako's form might have worsened.

Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Malien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USFAS Bamako, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Malien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Malien (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stade Malien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

USFAS could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, USFAS won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, USFAS won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	13	50
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
06.02.26	Mali Coura - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Onze Créateurs - USFAS Bamako	1:0 ✺
15.01.26	Bougouba - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLTL
- Stade Malien
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Simba - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Stade Malien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Stade Malien - Atlético Petróleos de Luanda	2:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Stade Malien - Mali Coura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
19.04.25	Stade Malien - USFAS Bamako	2:0
31.12.24	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:2
04.02.24	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	1:1
02.11.23	Stade Malien - USFAS Bamako	1:1
10.07.23	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	3:0
14.01.22	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	1:1
08.02.20	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:1

USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide