Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 5

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Danie Craven Stadium (Stellenbosch)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Stellenbosch		Stade Malien

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.42	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6.52	Watch
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.44	4.52	7	Watch
	1.42	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.65)	4.15 ↑ (3.3)	7 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Confederation Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 4

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Current Win Probability

Stellenbosch
64.6%

Draw
22.2%

Stade Malien
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

27.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stellenbosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stellenbosch's performance.

Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stellenbosch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stellenbosch - Stade Malien Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stellenbosch will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Stephens S. (C) 18. De Jong A. 5. Lekoloane K. 4. Toure O. 2. Onyango B. 23. Adams J. 21. Basadien F. 34. Titus D. 28. Palace G. 24. Moloisane T. 39. Cupido A.	22. Solomane C. (G) 34. Coulibaly A. 8. Kouma L. (C) 29. Magassouba S. 2. Traore D. 38. Coulibaly O. 5. Coulibaly Y. 37. Kamate F. 11. Diallo M. 9. Diaby S. 10. Coulibaly D.
Substitutes
20. Barns S. 15. Butsaka C. 33. De Kock L. 7. Godswill E. 27. Jabaar I. 6. Jurgens K. 11. Langelihle P. 30. Masuluke O. (G) 3. Mdaka O.	6. Camara M. 13. Cisse H. (G) 32. Cisse M. 21. Conde M. 27. Diarra B. 31. Diarra I. 15. Doumbia M. 35. Traore M. 1. Traore N. (G)
Coaches
Barker S.	Kane M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Kamate F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Basadien F. (Pen),
36', Traore D. ↓, Cisse H. ↑,
39', 2 - 0, Adams J. ⚽, Basadien F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lekoloane K. ↓, Barns S. ↑,
48', De Jong A. 🟨,
66', Onyango B. ↓, Jurgens K. ↑,
71', Stephens S. 🟨,
81', Coulibaly D. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
81', Diaby S. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
81', Palace G. ↓, Jabaar I. ↑,
81', De Jong A. ↓, Butsaka C. ↑,
86', Cupido A. ↓, Godswill E. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Stade Malien could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Stellenbosch is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stellenbosch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stellenbosch FC
South African Premier Soccer League
08.01.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Stellenbosch	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
05.01.25	Stellenbosch - Lunda Sul	2:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
28.12.24	Supersport United - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stellenbosch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLW
- Stade Malien
CAF Confederation Cup
05.01.25	Stade Malien - Berkane	0:1 ✺
Malian Première Division
31.12.24	USFAS Bamako - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Berkane - Stade Malien	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Lunda Sul - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
27.11.24	Stade Malien - Stellenbosch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	Stade Malien - Stellenbosch	2:0

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