The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stade Nyonnais 17.1%
Draw 20.1%
Aarau 62.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.4%
19.2%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
17.9%
60%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Aarau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Stade Nyonnais - Aarau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th in the Relegation - Promotion League and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 1.
Stade Nyonnais has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Aarau is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Aarau may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Aarau for this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Stade Nyonnais has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:27 (averaging 1.8:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stade Nyonnais against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:13 goals (averaging 2.5:2.2 per game).
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