Match Info

Challenge League - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Colovray Sports Centre (Nyon)

Referee: Brunner J. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stade Nyonnais		Neuchâtel Xamax

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.40	1.93
	3.25	3.50	1.95
	3.59	3.91	1.96
	3.48	3.92	1.92	Watch
	3.55	3.85	1.91
	3.34	3.90	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.60	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.54)	3.73 ↓ (3.79)	1.94 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Nyonnais
27.4%

Draw
24.8%

Neuchâtel Xamax
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.2%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

23.6%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Aubert M. (G) 2. Ouchard R. 42. Akichi E. 4. Fankhauser S. 66. Philippin R. 8. Ribeiro L. (C) 5. Mandaka J. 11. Hysenaj F. 10. Alili B. 7. Lentini F. 91. Regillo M.	1. Mossi A. (G) 25. Dind M. 60. Camara M. 21. Bergsma L. 3. Fontana J. 4. Abedini E. (C) 40. Veya L. 81. Carraco D. 28. Gjorgjev N. 10. Mulaj L. 32. Ambrose P.
Substitutes
6. Ahuissou F. 24. Betoubam C. 25. Diallo T. 27. Edougue S. 15. Grognuz N. 19. Ishuayed M. 1. Mazzeo M. (G) 9. Miguel M. 17. Ndjoko E.	35. Azemi A. 8. Bayard R. 18. De Donno J. 70. Diomande B. 7. Facchinetti M. 5. Gunnarsson N. 24. Keita I. 23. Mayasi J. (G) 16. Seydoux L.
Coaches
Mioch A.	Berner B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Abedini E. ⚽, Carraco D. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Bergsma L. (Own goal),
40', Abedini E. ↓, Bayard R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Veya L. ↓, Keita I. ↑,
61', Carraco D. ↓, Diomande B. ↑,
61', Dind M. ↓, Seydoux L. ↑,
64', Mandaka J. ↓, Ahuissou F. ↑,
70', Regillo M. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
70', Fankhauser S. ↓, Grognuz N. ↑,
70', Lentini F. ↓, Miguel M. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Ambrose P. ⚽, Keita I. (A),
75', Hysenaj F. ↓, Betoubam C. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Ambrose P. ⚽, Bayard R. (A),
84', Mulaj L. ↓, Gunnarsson N. ↑,
89', Ribeiro L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Xamax might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Brandy E. (Inactive) Moulin P. (Inactive) Thermoncy K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Xamax: Likar U. (Inactive) Luthi J. (Inactive) Nvendo V. (Inactive) dos Santos G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Xamax	9	4	0	5	12:17	-5	12
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6:23	-17	2

Last Results with these Odds

Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
06.09.26	Yverdon - Stade Nyonnais	4:1 ✺
01.09.26	Stade Nyonnais - Winterthur	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Kriens - Stade Nyonnais	3:0 ✺
21.08.26	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Aarau - Stade Nyonnais	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL
- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
04.09.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Yverdon	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Lausanne Ouchy	1:2 ✺
Swiss Cup
15.08.26	Meyrin - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
10.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:1
06.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0
19.12.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1
Swiss Cup
02.12.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 penalties
Swiss Challenge League
25.07.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	1:1
16.05.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3
16.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:0

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