Match Info

Challenge League - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Switzerland	19:30	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Winterthur

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.70	1.80
	3.40	3.75	1.82
	3.75	4.19	1.86
	3.27	3.96	1.98	Watch
	3.65	4.10	1.82
	3.56	3.97	1.86	Watch
	3.40	3.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.06)	3.93 ↓ (3.99)	1.85 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
26.5%

Draw
23.5%

Winterthur
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

23.4%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

22.6%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Neuchâtel Xamax - Winterthur Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Xamax will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Winterthur will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Winterthur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Likar U. (G) 60. Camara M. 4. Abedini E. (C) 7. Facchinetti M. 16. Seydoux L. 41. Bourezak A. 8. Bayard R. 77. Peverelli Y. 24. Keita I. 32. Ambrose P. 28. Gjorgjev N.	75. Spagnoli A. (G) 21. Ottiger S. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 27. Rohner F. 19. Odin Y. 44. Cueni S. 8. Golliard T. 20. Marchesano A. 37. Maluvunu E. 68. Beyer B.
Substitutes
35. Azemi A. 81. Carraco D. 18. De Donno J. 25. Dind M. 5. Gunnarsson N. 1. Mossi A. (G) 10. Mulaj L. 36. Reinhard S. 40. Veya L.	9. Buess R. 33. Citherlet T. 18. Diaby S. 6. Essiam E. 45. Jankewitz A. 11. Kehrer E. 1. Kuster M. (G) 22. Turkes A. 7. Zuffi L.
Coaches
Berner B.	Rahmen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Facchinetti M. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Gjorgjev N. ⚽, Keita I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cueni S. ↓, Zuffi L. ↑,
46', Maluvunu E. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Facchinetti M. ⚽,
61', Peverelli Y. ↓, Dind M. ↑,
61', Bourezak A. ↓, Carraco D. ↑,
62', Rohner F. 🟨,
69', 3 - 0, Seydoux L. ⚽,
74', Gjorgjev N. ↓, Mulaj L. ↑,
74', Beyer B. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
74', Marchesano A. ↓, Jankewitz A. ↑,
79', Ambrose P. ↓, Veya L. ↑,
79', Keita I. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
88', Golliard T. ↓, Buess R. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 6th and 2nd in the Promotion - Super League (Relegation: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Xamax (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Winterthur is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Winterthur may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Winterthur holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Xamax: Nvendo V. (Inactive) dos Santos G. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Winterthur: Burkart N. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Xamax has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:27 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Xamax against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Winterthur	11	6	3	2	23:11	12	21
4	Xamax	11	5	1	5	15:17	-2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Zürich - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
18.09.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3 ✺
04.09.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Yverdon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- FC Winterthur
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Winterthur - Basel	7:3 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
18.09.26	Winterthur - Aarau	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Étoile Carouge - Winterthur	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Stade Nyonnais - Winterthur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
04.09.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	4:0
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1
Swiss Challenge League
14.05.22	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1
18.03.22	Neuchâtel Xamax - Winterthur	0:0
29.10.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Winterthur	1:1
11.09.21	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1
30.04.21	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:1

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