Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 22

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Nejib Khattab (Tataouine)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Tataouine		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.95
	1.99	3.15	4.05
	1.9	3.18	4.04	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.33
	1.89	3.05	4.14	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.13 ↓ (3.32)	4.08 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tataouine
48.2%

Draw
29.3%

EGS Gafsa
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

27.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tataouine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

EGS Gafsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EGS Gafsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tataouine than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EGS Gafsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.3%	8.7%	0%

Tataouine - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Users Predictions: Tataouine will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Rebai S. (G) 3. Ben Rhouma H. 9. Diakite J. 29. Guezmir H. 25. Jemai M. 13. Kartli A. 35. Koita M. 8. Mevine P. 15. Naoui M. A. 7. Ounalli Z. 11. Timi W.	22. Jeridi R. (G) 28. Ben Chaieb H. 11. Ben Hassine F. 4. Chabbi A. 19. Horchani A. 18. Jebali O. 7. Jouini A. 9. Mbarek H. 15. Mejri S. 14. Messai M. 20. Mhamedi H.
Substitutes
4. Affas R. 5. Amor H. 32. Bguir Y. (G) 14. Diakite L. 18. Ghrabi J. 27. Mgannem B. 12. Mhadhbi S. 21. Rasheed I. 22. Rhouma A.	23. Agbre N. 10. Ajmani A. 17. Al Omrani A. 21. Barbati A. 24. Bennour M. 27. Chaabani B. 5. Chokri A. 13. Frioui A. (G) 25. Traore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Jouini A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Kartli A. ↓, Mgannem B. ↑,
65', Mbarek H. ↓, Ajmani A. ↑,
65', Horchani A. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
80', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Recent matches Tataouine is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gafsa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gafsa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tataouine will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tataouine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tataouine won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tataouine
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.02.25	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Tataouine	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Tataouine - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Gabès - Tataouine	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Tataouine - Étoile du Sahel	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Bizertin - Tataouine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 TWWLL
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
18.02.25	Olympique Béja - EGS Gafsa	3:1 ✺
12.02.25	EGS Gafsa - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Club Africain - EGS Gafsa	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	EGS Gafsa - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.11.24	EGS Gafsa - Tataouine	2:0
26.05.24	EGS Gafsa - Tataouine	3:1
02.03.24	Tataouine - EGS Gafsa	1:0

Tataouine - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide